
Which of NATO members will have met the target of 2% of GDP defence spending in any year before 2030?
39
2.7kαΉ93912030
70%
Italy
70%
Slovenia
70%
Spain
65%
Canada
Resolved
YESUnited States
Resolved
YESUnited Kingdom
Resolved
YESGermany
Resolved
YESFrance
Resolved
YESPoland
Resolved
YESTurkey
Resolved
YESNetherlands
Resolved
YESSweden
Resolved
YESEstonia
Resolved
YESFinland
Resolved
YESLithuania
Resolved
YESGreece
Resolved
YESCzechia
Resolved
YESLatvia
Resolved
YESRomania
Resolved
YESBulgaria
The market will resolve as YES for all countries that record in any year between 2024-2030 a budget for military expenditure exceeding 2% of their GDP, as per NATO data (https://www.nato.int/).
This includes any future NATO member, whose number is published by NATO in the time period in question.
For example, the published numbers for 2023 are here:

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any @mods can resolve YES for the countries above 2% in page 4 of https://www.nato.int/nato_static_fl2014/assets/pdf/2024/6/pdf/240617-def-exp-2024-en.pdf
The Economist has published an article on this topic this week
Can Europe defend itself without America? (economist.com)

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