Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
Which of NATO members will have met the target of 2% of GDP defence spending in any year before 2030?
42
แน€2.7kแน€12k
resolved Apr 29
Resolved
YES
United States
Resolved
YES
United Kingdom
Resolved
YES
Germany
Resolved
YES
France
Resolved
YES
Italy
Resolved
YES
Poland
Resolved
YES
Canada
Resolved
YES
Spain
Resolved
YES
Turkey
Resolved
YES
Netherlands
Resolved
YES
Sweden
Resolved
YES
Estonia
Resolved
YES
Finland
Resolved
YES
Lithuania
Resolved
YES
Greece
Resolved
YES
Czechia
Resolved
YES
Latvia
Resolved
YES
Romania
Resolved
YES
Bulgaria
Resolved
YES
Albania

The market will resolve as YES for all countries that record in any year between 2024-2030 a budget for military expenditure exceeding 2% of their GDP, as per NATO data (https://www.nato.int/).

This includes any future NATO member, whose number is published by NATO in the time period in question.

For example, the published numbers for 2023 are here:

Get
แน€1,000
to start trading!

๐Ÿ… Top traders

#TraderTotal profit
1แน€139
2แน€108
3แน€91
4แน€80
5แน€59
Sort by:

Hey @RanaG
Can you resolve the last four countries?

Hello

Can any @mods resolve the remaining four countries?

@Anon99 can you resolve? Most countries are already above 2%

reposted

The Economist has published an article on this topic this week

Can Europe defend itself without America? (economist.com)

Wait, I forgot Sweden isn't in NATO yet. ๐Ÿคฆ

@Pazzaz I'll phrase the question to include future members