In 2025, what percentage of EAs are non-male?
21
223
Ṁ450
2025
34%
chance

Resolves to the percentage reported by the most current publicly available community-wide survey by the end of 2025.

In the 2020 survey, 29% of respondents were non-male:

https://rethinkpriorities.org/publications/eas2020-demographics

In the 2022 survey, 34% if respondents were non-male:

https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/AJDgnPXqZ48eSCjEQ/ea-survey-2022-demographics

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Can you explain how this resolution works? You ask for a number, but the resolution is YES or NO.

predicts YES

@ErwinRossen Binary questions can be resolved to any percentage between 0 and 1. So if the correct percentage ends up being 10%, then the NO shares will pay out .9 and the YES shares pay out .1

Related:

Every time I see EA in these contexts I have to remind myself that it isn't Enrolled Agents...