AI Companion Gender Gap: Men vs Women Romantic Preference by 2030
4
100Ṁ43
2030
60%
chance

Resolution Criteria: Market resolves based on the first major survey published between Jan 1, 2030 and Dec 31, 2030 asking respondents aged 20-35: "Do you prefer AI companions over human romantic relationships?" (or substantially similar question).

Resolution Formula:

  • Find the percentage of men who answer "yes"

  • Find the percentage of women who answer "yes"

  • Market resolves to: 50% + (Men% - Women%)/2

Examples:

  • If 20% of men and 10% of women prefer AI: resolves to 50% + (20-10)/2 = 55%

  • If 15% of men and 25% of women prefer AI: resolves to 50% + (15-25)/2 = 45%

  • If equal percentages: resolves to 50%

Survey Requirements:

  • 1000+ respondents with gender breakdown

  • Conducted by recognized polling organization (Pew, Gallup, university, etc.)

  • Published in peer-reviewed journal, major media, or official report

  • If multiple qualifying surveys, use the one with largest sample size

N/A Resolution: If no qualifying survey exists by Dec 31, 2030

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy