Resolution Criteria: Market resolves based on the first major survey published between Jan 1, 2030 and Dec 31, 2030 asking respondents aged 20-35: "Do you prefer AI companions over human romantic relationships?" (or substantially similar question).
Resolution Formula:
Find the percentage of men who answer "yes"
Find the percentage of women who answer "yes"
Market resolves to: 50% + (Men% - Women%)/2
Examples:
If 20% of men and 10% of women prefer AI: resolves to 50% + (20-10)/2 = 55%
If 15% of men and 25% of women prefer AI: resolves to 50% + (15-25)/2 = 45%
If equal percentages: resolves to 50%
Survey Requirements:
1000+ respondents with gender breakdown
Conducted by recognized polling organization (Pew, Gallup, university, etc.)
Published in peer-reviewed journal, major media, or official report
If multiple qualifying surveys, use the one with largest sample size
N/A Resolution: If no qualifying survey exists by Dec 31, 2030