Trump's first term was a case of "truth is stranger than fiction", with headlines and events that would have been considered unthinkable for a U.S. President before 2016.

In that spirit, what is the most unthinkable, but "almost plausible" headline or event to occur during Trump's second term (2025-2029).

Add your prediction for a specific, non-obvious headline or event that fundamentally shifts the Overton Window of the rules-based international order.

Resolution criteria

• Resolves to the answer I judge to be the funniest and most clever.

  I will be heavily guided by community engagement, including an answer's peak probability (but "piling on" to a popular answer won't automatically resolve to YES), the number of unique traders, and any discussion in the comments.

• There's every possibility for a brilliant last-minute answer to win, even if it doesn't have time to reach the highest probability. The final decision is mine.

• I may add new options, and I may bet small on answers I like, but I'm not interesting in profiting of this, I'm just looking for a laugh, and to get a feel of what this community thinks about Trump's global impact.

• To keep things moving, this market considers the 2025-2029 period, but resolves 31 Dec 2025.

• Market type is dependent multiple choice: only one outcome can resolve YES.