Will "My PhD thesis: Algorithmic Bayesian Epistemology" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
Basic
13
Ṁ3862026
44%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2024 Review resolves in February 2026.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post My PhD thesis: Algorithmic Bayesian Epistemology is one of the top fifty posts of the 2024 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
Get Ṁ600 play money
Related questions
Related questions
Will "Toward A Mathematical Framework for Computati..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
39% chance
Will "'Empiricism!' as Anti-Epistemology" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
75% chance
Will "The Learning-Theoretic Agenda: Status 2023" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
47% chance
Will "Attitudes about Applied Rationality" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
43% chance
Will "Against Almost Every Theory of Impact of Inte..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
59% chance
Will "Deep atheism and AI risk" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
70% chance
Will "Fucking Goddamn Basics of Rationalist Discourse" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
49% chance
Will "Against LLM Reductionism" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
21% chance
Will "LeCun’s “A Path Towards Autonomous Machine In..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
24% chance
Will "Timaeus's First Four Months" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
14% chance