Will "My PhD thesis: Algorithmic Bayesian Epistemology" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
13
1kṀ3852026
44%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2024 Review resolves in February 2026.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post My PhD thesis: Algorithmic Bayesian Epistemology is one of the top fifty posts of the 2024 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Related questions
Related questions
Will "Why I’m not a Bayesian" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
13% chance
Will "My Number 1 Epistemology Book Recommendation:..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "You should consider applying to PhDs (soon!)" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
9% chance
Will "Toward A Mathematical Framework for Computati..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
46% chance
Will "'Empiricism!' as Anti-Epistemology" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
80% chance
Will "The nihilism of NeurIPS" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "EIS XIII: Reflections on Anthropic’s SAE Rese..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
17% chance
Will "Timaeus's First Four Months" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
10% chance
Will "Shallow review of technical AI safety, 2024" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
24% chance
Will "Attitudes about Applied Rationality" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
43% chance