Will "Every "Every Bay Area House Party" Bay Area H..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
Basic
4
Ṁ1402026
16%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2024 Review resolves in February 2026.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post Every "Every Bay Area House Party" Bay Area House Party is one of the top fifty posts of the 2024 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will "Cohabitive Games so Far" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
55% chance
Will "Things I Learned by Spending Five Thousand Ho..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
72% chance
Will "Things I Learned by Spending Five Thousand Ho..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
70% chance
Will "Shallow review of live agendas in alignment &..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
61% chance
Will "The Story of "I Have Been A Good Bing"" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
31% chance
Will "An Extremely Opinionated Annotated List of My..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
38% chance
Will "You can just spontaneously call people you ha..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
18% chance
Will "The Base Rate Times, news through prediction ..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
20% chance
Will "One Day Sooner" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
16% chance
Will "Contra Ngo et al. “Every ‘Every Bay Area Hous..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
7% chance