
Will "Poker is a bad game for teaching epistemics. ..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
4
Ṁ1kṀ1.2kFeb 1
10%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2024 Review resolves in February 2026.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post Poker is a bad game for teaching epistemics. Figgie is a better one. is one of the top fifty posts of the 2024 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will "The Game Board has been Flipped: Now is a goo..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
11% chance
Will "Video games are philosophy's playground" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
13% chance
Will "Four ways learning Econ makes people dumber r..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
15% chance
Will "Auditing Games for Sandbagging [paper]" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "Sonnet 4.5's eval gaming seriously undermines..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
13% chance
Will "The Most Common Bad Argument In These Parts" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
25% chance
Will "It's hard to make scheming evals look realist..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "Lies, Damned Lies, and Proofs: Formal Methods..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "Yudkowsky on "Don't use p(doom)"" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
13% chance
Will "Erasmus: Social Engineering at Scale" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
14% chance