Will "ASIs will not leave just a little sunlight fo..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
17
Ṁ1kṀ2.8kresolved Feb 27
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2024 Review resolves in February 2026.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post ASIs will not leave just a little sunlight for Earth is one of the top fifty posts of the 2024 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ196 | |
| 2 | Ṁ101 | |
| 3 | Ṁ64 | |
| 4 | Ṁ42 | |
| 5 | Ṁ17 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will "The News is Never Neglected" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
8% chance
Will "So You Want To Make Marginal Progress..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
31% chance
Will "On The Independence Axiom" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
20% chance
Will "Some articles in “International Security” tha..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
13% chance
Will "Why AIs aren't power-seeking yet" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "The Inkhaven Residency" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
6% chance
Will "Anthropic is (probably) not meeting its RSP s..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "This is a review of the reviews" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
8% chance
Will "I enjoyed most of IABIED" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
8% chance
Will "Checking in on AI-2027" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
10% chance