Will "SAE feature geometry is outside the superposi..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
Plus
1
Ṁ502026
18%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2024 Review resolves in February 2026.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post SAE feature geometry is outside the superposition hypothesis is one of the top fifty posts of the 2024 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will "The ‘strong’ feature hypothesis could be wrong" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
42% chance
Will "Self-Other Overlap: A Neglected Approach to A..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
42% chance
Will "What Goes Without Saying" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
10% chance
Will "Toward A Mathematical Framework for Computati..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
46% chance
Will "Without fundamental advances, misalignment an..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
46% chance
Will "Mapping the semantic void: Strange goings-on ..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
19% chance
Will "Giant (In)scrutable Matrices: (Maybe) the Bes..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
22% chance
Will "Some (problematic) aesthetics of what constit..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
22% chance
Will "Discussion with Nate Soares on a key alignmen..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
21% chance
Will "Against LLM Reductionism" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
21% chance