Will "Sleeper Agents: Training Deceptive LLMs that ..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
2
10
Ṁ38Ṁ70
2026
28%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2024 Review resolves in February 2026.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post Sleeper Agents: Training Deceptive LLMs that Persist Through Safety Training is one of the top fifty posts of the 2024 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
Get Ṁ200 play money
More related questions
Related questions
Will "Natural Latents: The Math" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
13% chance
Will "Refusal in LLMs is mediated by a single direction" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
33% chance
Will "Alignment Implications of LLM Successes: a De..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
37% chance
Will "My Clients, The Liars" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
10% chance
Will "Paper: On measuring situational awareness in LLMs" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
17% chance
Will "Lessons On How To Get Things Right On The Fir..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
33% chance
Will "AI Timelines" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
83% chance
Will "Social Dark Matter" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
19% chance
Will "The Learning-Theoretic Agenda: Status 2023" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
25% chance
Will "Against LLM Reductionism" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
21% chance