Will "Refusal in LLMs is mediated by a single direction" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
2
37
Ṁ88Ṁ120
2026
41%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2024 Review resolves in February 2026.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post Refusal in LLMs is mediated by a single direction is one of the top fifty posts of the 2024 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
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