Will "My simple AGI investment & insurance strategy" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
Basic
3
Ṁ512026
10%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2024 Review resolves in February 2026.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post My simple AGI investment & insurance strategy is one of the top fifty posts of the 2024 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will "My AGI safety research—2024 review, ’25 plans" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "How AI Takeover Might Happen in 2 Years" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
79% chance
Will "Principles for the AGI Race" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
11% chance
Will "A basic systems architecture for AI agents th..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
12% chance
Will "Introducing AI Lab Watch" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
9% chance
Will "2023 in AI predictions" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
13% chance
Will "Orienting to 3 year AGI timelines" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
35% chance
Will "AIs Will Increasingly Attempt Shenanigans" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
11% chance
Will "things that confuse me about the current AI m..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
13% chance
Will "A breakdown of AI capability levels focused o..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
14% chance