LegallyBlacked's calibration
Grade: C, Score: -6.45
Resolution probability
Probability after bet
Interpretation
- The green dot at (x%, y%) means when LegallyBlacked bet YES at x%, the question resolved YES y% of the time on average.
- Perfect calibration would result in all green points being above the line, all red points below, and a score of zero.
- The score is the mean squared error for yes and no bets times -100.
- Each point is a bucket of bets weighted by bet amount with a maximum range of 10% (sell trades are excluded).
YES bets
NO bets
3 largest bets for each bucket
10%
20%
30%
40%
- Will DariusIRL have at least one twitlonger / misconduct allegation by the end of 2023NOṀ100
- Will there be a deadly encounter between Chinese and Indian forces near the Line of Actual Control in 2023?NOṀ10
- Will there be a deadly encounter between Chinese and Indian forces near the Line of Actual Control in 2023?NOṀ10
50%
60%
70%