destiny avatar
closes Feb 2, 2023
Will MrGirl's "investigation" conclude that Destiny is a serial sexual abuser?
46%
chance

If the line is blurry on the conclusion, I'll cancel the market returning everyone's investment.

Close date updated to 2023-02-01 11:59 pm

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MattAnderson avatar
Matt Anderson
bought Ṁ100 of YES

This being at 41% is pure cope by Mr girl supporters

DavidDavidson avatar
David Davidson
is predicting NO at 45%

@MattAnderson In my case its because of the severe lack of evidence.

Also did they get rid of tips?

MattAnderson avatar
Matt Anderson
is predicting YES at 15%

@DavidDavidson That's my point though. He's so set on taking down Steve it doesn't matter if there is or not he'll conclude it anyway.

SlurmSoda avatar
SlurmSoda
bought Ṁ200 of YES

Most obvious choice of my life

SmithJohn avatar
Smith John
bought Ṁ96 of NO

1,113 SHARES ON NO KEEP IT COMING STEPHEN REPAIR THE BRIDGE

DavidDavidson avatar
David Davidson
is predicting NO at 39%

@SmithJohn It'll probably resolve no, but the bridge is likely never getting repaired.

Aghgg2 avatar
Aghgg2
is predicting YES at 52%

Mrgirl is his name.

Hyperbole is his game.

LLLLLL avatar
L Spam
is predicting NO at 43%

@destiny If MrGirl does not conclude his investigation before Jan 1st 2023, will this market be closed? And if so, how would it be resolved?

old_chicken avatar
Old Chicken
bought Ṁ40 of YES

No shit

LLLLLL avatar
L Spam
is predicting NO at 36%

Do you y'all think it will be a blurry conclusion?

https://manifold.markets/LLLLLL/will-the-will-mrgirls-investigation

gee avatar

@LLLLLL Genius

SmithJohn avatar
Smith John
bought Ṁ10 of NO

all in no baby

NickMayer avatar
Nick Mayer
is predicting NO at 45%

I'm all in there's literally no way

WOOF avatar
Down bad
is predicting YES at 51%

Mr girl is already calling it sexual misconduct, can’t convince him that it’s not abusive. Yes all the way. He’s on a mission.

Smeth avatar
Smeth
bought Ṁ102 of NO

@WOOF Wait a damn second. For the sake of the bet, it should be made clear if misconduct = abuse. I think misconduct is not abuse in a legal sense. In a psychological sense it can be. How are we determining this?

WOOF avatar
Down bad
is predicting YES at 44%

@Smeth I don't think any of this is in the legal sense

Smeth avatar
Smeth
is predicting NO at 44%

@WOOF There is a difference between calling someone "abusive" and calling them an "abuser." This is what justifies the legal distinction, intent being the most important factor. From the perspective that intent is critical, misconduct implies someone is abusive, not an abuser... From a psychological perspective intent does not matter, because we are describing behaviors however they manifest. I would argue that the majority of people do NOT engage within this psychological framework, but more of an empirical framework, and law is the standard there.

Smeth avatar
Smeth
is predicting NO at 44%

@WOOF I just realized that I don't need to stake out this distinction, because the stock reads "sexual abuser" and I am confident that my no stocks will win regardless of this distinction.

WOOF avatar
Down bad
is predicting YES at 44%

@Smeth I think you're over thinking this, this is MrGirl, not law enforcement, but now you got me over thinking it. @destiny can we get a ruling? is this in regards to the legal sense? like is destiny is forcing himself on others without out consent (sexual assault) or is this in regards to MrGirl thinking Destiny uses his position as a streamer to exploit his orbiters sexually?

Smeth avatar
Smeth
is predicting NO at 44%

@WOOF https://www.justia.com/injury/sexual-abuse/

sexual abuse, not assault.

Still I actually don't think the distinction will matter for the sake of my bet, and I'm willing to give up on it, but maybe for others it matters.

WOOF avatar
Down bad
is predicting YES at 44%

@Smeth Read what you linked.

Smeth avatar
Smeth
is predicting NO at 44%

@WOOF It includes coercion and sexual harassment as part of it, while sexual assault does not. I am betting that mrgirl won't find any instances of coercion or harassment.

WOOF avatar
Down bad
is predicting YES at 44%

@Smeth coercion is what he is accusing destiny of and already believes that at least 1 person was coerced.

Smeth avatar
Smeth
is predicting NO at 44%

@WOOF I am betting that mrgirl won't find any instances of coercion or harassment.

JaimeSantos avatar
Jaime Santos
is predicting NO at 66%

Why the fuck does this stock keep going up?

WOOF avatar
Down bad
is predicting YES at 52%

@JaimeSantos MrGirl is the one conducting the investigation and he’s approaching it as though Destiny is guilty. Nothing will change his mind

ManifoldDream avatar

Will MrGirl's "investigation" conclude that Destiny is a serial sexual abuser?, 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition