![](/_next/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstorage.googleapis.com%2Fmantic-markets.appspot.com%2Fcontract-images%2FLarsDoucet%2F71f12544858a.jpg%3FGoogleAccessId%3Dmantic-markets%2540appspot.gserviceaccount.com%26Expires%3D16447017600%26Signature%3DRUgEkoqHeVO9f9g8mj7MlymQql6lpNK%252B8kPOmonRQSC6%252FzjZlYZXutyxkTuJUf3XLlBq%252FO7wwJDLctmZCIVFgtbBV%252BOHTli13bQS3snZvwmCXpcEqrDmRiu%252FoB8dM5xXxG8N9tXkAxcjITHT2XxsPReae%252BdLfMq69l2daWxfUB462gPKwKVY6rY2IQM95ErywzMXClTEHyVE9%252FScLqddmfmouUWlL%252BG7Lvuh%252FRN0Y7TQjrMI%252BwIxk5zsVdzQXNbkf4vRcKlMcX9Ftu8Oe9gN3wGCZHBvrfmf7s0ZrJOa67YFuW%252FQEyvsUPacWl0naTFrio0ERcwnQGoX0cubhCO6iA%253D%253D&w=3840&q=75)
[REDFIN] Will "change come to the real estate industry" in 2024?
Mini
6
Ṁ1432025
68%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market resolves YES if, in my sole subjective opinion, I believe there is significant evidence for any of the following by the end of 2024:
A significant larger number of homebuyers start working directly with the listing agent
New decisive legislation and/or legal action further weakens the former status quo of the buyer's agent fee being paid by the seller
Context:
Redfin made seven predictions for 2024, I'm mirroring them here:
https://www.redfin.com/news/housing-market-predictions-2024/?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=earnedsocial&utm_campaign=1029869
Get Ṁ600 play money
Related questions
Related questions
[REDFIN] Will new listings in 2024 exceed listings in 2023?
49% chance
Will there be a Manifold Markets Financial Crisis in 2024? When?
[REDFIN] Will Housing be a major issue in the 2024 election?
34% chance
[REDFIN] Will the % of people renting in the US increase in 2024?
79% chance
Will the housing crisis abate in 2025?
41% chance
[REDFIN] Will US home prices fall 1% YoY in Q2 or Q3 2024?
39% chance
[REDFIN] Will US home sales increase and end the year up 5%?
50% chance
Will Real Estate Prices in the US increase by at least 25% by the end of 2027?
32% chance
Will the Canadian Real Estate Market collapse in 2024?
25% chance
Will there be a real estate crash in the US in 2026?
17% chance