Will Real Estate Prices in the US increase by at least 25% by the end of 2027?
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Prediction #7 in my "Great Logging Off" market
Blog post:
https://www.fortressofdoors.com/ai-markets-for-lemons-and-the-great-logging-off
This resolves YES, if, by the end of 2027, this FRED graph shows a value that is 25% higher (1.25x) than it was in Q3 2022 ($542,900), or $678,625.
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/ASPUS
For context, 5 years ago, Q3 of 2017, the value was $373,200. We've seen a 1.45X growth since then.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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My reasoning: the FED will likely drop interest rates under political pressure and Congress will keep on borrowing money to stimulate the economy. We'll once again get the doubly whammy of inflation plus low interest rates driving demand plus failure to deal with zoning regulations.
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