Will any other large AI organization have a big public leadership conflict before 2028?
Basic
5
Ṁ682028
68%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Other than OpenAI. Anthropic, Deepmind, Meta AI, etc.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will OpenAI + an AI alignment organization announce a major breakthrough in AI alignment? (2024)
4% chance
Will general consensus be that OpenAI is no longer the lead AI company by end of 2024?
4% chance
Will a leading AI organization in the United States be the target of an anti-AI attack or protest by the end of 2024?
30% chance
Will there be an offensive, ideologically motivated incident against an AI entity in 2024?
23% chance
Will there be another controversy-causing wave of resignations at OpenAI in 2024?
17% chance
Will a leading AI organization in Europe be the target of an anti-AI attack or protest by the end of 2024?
11% chance
Will there be an anti-AI terrorist incident by 2028?
61% chance
Will there be a coherent AI safety movement with leaders and an agenda in May 2029?
77% chance
Will OpenAI have another public board issue before 2025?
13% chance
Will another organization surpass OpenAI in the public sphere of awareness of AI progress by the end of 2024?
8% chance