Will my new romantic relationship last at least a year? | Manifold

Will my new romantic relationship last at least a year?

12

1kṀ733

2026

34%

chance

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on May 31, 2026, I am still in a romantic relationship with the person I began dating in mid-May 2025. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."

-M/F, late 30s

-Long distance at least for now

-We are feeling optimistic and not afraid of commitment

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bought Ṁ150 NO

Betting no hoping yes

filled a Ṁ10 YES at 48% order

I wish you luck 🙂

Would you be ok with sharing how long both your and your partner's previous relationships have tended to last?

@TheAllMemeingEye A range of 6 months to 13 years for me, with 4/5 lasting more than a year. With him, the range is 2 months to 7 years, with about half lasting more than a year.

@KaylaG Thanks 👍

How long-distance? A three-hour trip in the same time zone and still seeing each other a couple weekends a month or different continents and only meeting on vacations?

@ArmandodiMatteo US East Coast/West Coast

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Related questions

Will my marriage with @RachelWeinberg last 5 years?

Given I have been with my partner for a year, will we be together for 5?

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What will be true of the partner or partners in my next romantic relationship?

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