Will I have a new serious relationship within the next 5 years?
30
11kṀ11k
2029
42%
With a cisgender man
88%
With a cisgender woman
25%
With a transmasculine person
41%
With a transfeminine person
90%
With anyone at all

A "serious relationship" is defined s.t. the all of the following conditions must hold:

  • We will date for at least 6 months.

  • During some period of 6 months in which we will be dating, we will spend some time with each other on at least 15 different days.

  • We will have sex on at least 8 different occasions.

[EDIT 2025-04-14: For the purpose of this market, a person is considered "cisgender" when either they explicitly identify as a cisgender person of the sex assigned to them at birth, or they satisfy both of the following criteria:

  • They made no medical interventions to alter their sexual characteristics.

  • They use the pronouns corresponding to their sex assigned at birth, and the same for any gendered grammar in any language of relevance to them.]

My manifold.love profile: https://manifoldlove.com/VanessaKosoy

Additional context: Out of the relationships I had in my life, 3 met those criteria (one pre-transition with a cisgender woman and two post-transition with transfeminine people) and another was marginal (post-transition, with a cisgender man).

Feel free to ask relevant questions about me!

I will not trade on this market.

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