Wich cabinet members of the new german goverment will govern until the next election?
12
475Ṁ895
resolved Jun 1
ResolvedN/A
15%
Alexander Dobrindt
13%
Johann Wadephul
12%
Lars Klingbeil
11%
Thorsten Frei
9%
Katherina Reiche
8%
Karin Prien
7%
Friedrich Merz
6%
Boris Pistorius
5%Other
5%
Dorothee Bär

Option resolves yes if minister/chancellor is still in place until the next election. If the next election is an early one or regular is irrelevant.

The reason why the minister/chancellor leaves office is also irrelevant.

Example for the last cabinet:

Habeck or Lauterbach would have resolved yes, even though an early election took place.

Lindner or Lambrecht would have resolved no, because they were fired/left office before the election.

Elections
Elections: World
Europe
Germany
German Politics
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

People are also trading

Sort by:

You are completely right, my mistake. 500 M down the drain.

@KarlLutz Suggestion: switch the market to "If any cabinet members of the new German government stop governing before the next election, which will be first?"

@KarlLutz You can also cancel the market (resolving N/A) which returns the 500 mana

@mods I think this market should be N/A'd

@KarlLutz I'm resolving this N/A since it sounds like the best option. If that's not what you want, or you want help re-creating it, or anything else, let us know!

bought Ṁ60 YES

I think you picked the wrong market type. This should be multiple choice - independent, not dependent.

People are also trading

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy