Nicolás Maduro out this year?
5
100Ṁ110Dec 31
18%
chance
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If Nicolás Maduro leaves office before Jan 1st, 2026, then the market resolves to yes. Outcome verified from the New York Times, the Associated Press, Reuters, Axios, Politico, Semafor, The Information, The Washington Post, The Wall Street Journal, ABC, CBS, CNN, Fox News, and MSNBC.
An announcement that Nicolás Maduro will leave the office within the next year is also encompassed by the payout criterion.
If Nicolás Maduro dies, this market will resolve to yes.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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