Will Stoke Space propulsively land and refly a second stage?
9
130แน1912035
71%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Stoke Space have a unique design for their second stage. It features an active heat shield and multiple small engines forming a ring at the base of the stage. In effect the stage operates as a aerospike engine.
Will resolve NO if Stoke Space cease operating.
To resolve YES the second stage must propulsively land from orbit and refly to orbit
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Will Stoke Space fly to space by 2027?
35% chance
When will a non-SpaceX propulsively landed orbital booster be reflown for the first time?
By when will SpaceX re-fly a space-flown Starship?
When will SpaceX first reuse Starship 2nd stage?
Will SpaceX fly a reusable Falcon 9 second stage before 2030?
3% chance
By which flight will SpaceX successfully recover both Starship and its Booster?
Will New Glenn 3 fly on a reused first stage?
20% chance
Will China successfully propulsively land a rocket first stage before 2027?
83% chance
When will a Starship booster first land and relaunch without being removed from the launch tower?
Sort by:
I made another one on Stoke:
/EvanDaniel/will-stoke-space-fly-to-space-by-20
It seemed like some intermediate milestones might be worth having.
@TomBouley I'm changing the closing date of this question, it doesn't make any sense to close it in 2025. Not sure what I was thinking. Let me know if you the bet refunded
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Stoke Space fly to space by 2027?
35% chance
When will a non-SpaceX propulsively landed orbital booster be reflown for the first time?
By when will SpaceX re-fly a space-flown Starship?
When will SpaceX first reuse Starship 2nd stage?
Will SpaceX fly a reusable Falcon 9 second stage before 2030?
3% chance
By which flight will SpaceX successfully recover both Starship and its Booster?
Will New Glenn 3 fly on a reused first stage?
20% chance
Will China successfully propulsively land a rocket first stage before 2027?
83% chance
When will a Starship booster first land and relaunch without being removed from the launch tower?