Will at least one Starship leave Earth heading for Mars in the 2026 launch window?
49
1kṀ44392026
37%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1832550322293837833
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Related questions
Related questions
Will at least one crewed Starship leave Earth heading for Mars in the 2028/2029 launch window?
15% chance
Will the first Starships to Mars will launch in 2 years when the next Earth-Mars transfer window opens?
40% chance
Will there be any mission that makes it to Mars during the 2026-27 Hohmann transfer window?
66% chance
Will there be ten or more starships that depart for mars in 2026?
5% chance
How many spacecraft will successfully make it to Mars during the 2028-29 Hohmann Transfer window?
Will Starship reach Mars by 2028?
31% chance
Will Starship reach Mars by 2040?
83% chance
Will Starship reach Mars by 2030?
62% chance
Will the first Starships to Mars launch before 2027?
34% chance
Will Starship go to the Moon before 2026?
14% chance