
Will at least one Starship leave Earth heading for Mars in the 2026 launch window?
52
1kṀ48392026
26%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1832550322293837833
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will at least one crewed Starship leave Earth heading for Mars in the 2028/2029 launch window?
12% chance
Will there be ten or more starships that depart for mars in 2026?
4% chance
How many spacecraft will successfully make it to Mars during the 2028-29 Hohmann Transfer window?
Will Starship reach Mars by 2028?
16% chance
Will Starship reach Mars by 2040?
81% chance
Will Starship reach Mars by 2030?
55% chance
Will Starship go to the Moon before 2026?
8% chance
Will Starship be involved with the return of the Mars samples?
50% chance
Will Starship conduct a manned launch before 2025?
1% chance
Will Starship launch to orbit at least 6 times before the end of 2025?
6% chance