Will there be ten or more starships that depart for mars in 2026?
16
Ṁ6240
2026
8%
chance

launch window Q4 2026 should be viable with possibility of missions in 2024 should starship production ramp up. I believe from simulations that at least one starship would need to fuel another starship to make the journey

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Do Starships that do the refueling and stay otherwise in Earth SOI count? Or (as I would expect) only Starships that get to the transfer orbit to Mars count?

predicts YES

@Irigi Yes starships that leave esrth. They don’t have to land or even make it to Mars just using the launch window in 2026