Will there be ten or more starships that depart for mars in 2026?
21
1kṀ82752026
3%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
launch window Q4 2026 should be viable with possibility of missions in 2024 should starship production ramp up. I believe from simulations that at least one starship would need to fuel another starship to make the journey
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
@Irigi Yes starships that leave esrth. They don’t have to land or even make it to Mars just using the launch window in 2026
People are also trading
Related questions
Will there be two or more SpaceX Starship launches in the second half of 2025?
95% chance
How many Starship launches will occur in 2025?
Will there be four or more SpaceX Starship launches in the second half of 2025?
38% chance
Will SpaceX's Starship have 40 successful launches before 2027?
38% chance
Will Starship reach Mars by 2030?
50% chance
Will Starship reach Mars by 2028?
15% chance
Will the first Starships to Mars launch before 2027?
16% chance
Will SpaceX launch a Starship to Mars by the end of 2026?
15% chance
Will there be 20 Starships by 2050?
96% chance
Will Starship reach Mars by 2040?
77% chance