Will there be any mission that makes it to Mars during the 2026-27 Hohmann transfer window?
3
120Ṁ462027
66%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Mars must be the final destination. It cannot be a flyby going to another planet or body. To resolve to YES, the mission must make it to Mars, not necessarily successfully land.
There is a transfer window coming up in Q3 2024 with a single mission scheduled: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_missions_to_Mars
This market asks if the ~November 2026 Hohmann transfer window will have any successful missions. As of 2024, there are several scheduled, but several were delayed originally set to go in 2024. See http://www.clowder.net/hop/railroad/EMa.htm for more windows.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Related questions
Related questions
Will there be a crewed mission to Lunar orbit before 2027?
63% chance
How many spacecraft will successfully make it to Mars during the 2028-29 Hohmann Transfer window?
Will at least one Starship leave Earth heading for Mars in the 2026 launch window?
37% chance
Will at least one crewed Starship leave Earth heading for Mars in the 2028/2029 launch window?
15% chance
Will the first Starships to Mars will launch in 2 years when the next Earth-Mars transfer window opens?
40% chance
Will there be a crewed mission to Mars before 2040?
65% chance
Will there be a crewed mission to Mars before 2045?
71% chance
Will a privately funded mission send humans to orbit around Mars and return them safely to Earth by the end of 2024?
1% chance
Will there be a crewed mission to Mars before 2035?
30% chance
Will there be a crewed mission to Mars before 2030?
10% chance