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MANIFOLD
Which countries will Donald Trump visit as the 47th President of the United States?
70
แน€4.3kแน€28k
resolved May 25
Resolved
YES
United Kingdom
Resolved
YES
Japan
Resolved
YES
Canada
Resolved
YES
South Korea
Resolved
YES
Saudi Arabia
Resolved
YES
Egypt
Resolved
YES
UAE
Resolved
YES
Italy
Resolved
YES
Israel
Resolved
YES
Switzerland
Resolved
YES
Netherlands
Resolved
YES
Qatar
Resolved
YES
Vatican City
Resolved
YES
Malaysia
Resolved
YES
United Arab Emirates
Resolved
N/A
China
Resolved
N/A
Turkiye
Resolved
N/A
India
Resolved
N/A
Germany
Resolved
N/A
Ukraine

Resolves to all correct answers

Please add countries

Please don't add regions or descriptors that cover multiple countries

  • Update 2025-05-13 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Regarding what constitutes a visit: A refueling stop will not count as a visit if Trump not leave the airbase/airport.

  • Update 2025-10-29 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Only trips after Trump's inauguration on January 20, 2025 count toward resolution. Visits made between the election and inauguration do not count.

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@mods please unresolve the N/As

@noaht2 Upon request of the user we are leaving these markets resolved NA, you can check their profile page for more details. Let me know if you lost significant profit as a result of these NAs, I can reimburse you.

China should have resolved yes?

@Bandors check his profile

@JussiVilleHeiskanen ah man it's funny money why's legal stuff gotta get mixed in

Can please resolve the switzerland one thanks

bought แน€7 NO

Here is a list of South Asian countries:

  • Afghanistan

  • Bangladesh

  • Bhutan

  • India

  • Maldives

  • Nepal

  • Pakistan

  • Sri Lanka

These are the countries generally included in the South Asia region.

@spltokensolana "Please don't add regions or descriptors that cover multiple countries"

hi @JoshuaWilkes

Can you clarify when do the second term start for you?

I assume "Donald Trump's second and current tenure as the President of the United States began upon his inauguration as the 47th president on January 20, 2025." Second presidency of Donald Trump - Wikipedia

I ask because I see France at 90%, but his visit was in December 2024, after the elections but before the official inauguration as 47th president. As you haven't resolved France as YES yet, I assume you count only the trips after January 20th, but a confirmation would be appreciated.

@MiguelLM yes, only trips after his inauguration

Hi @JoshuaWilkes

you can resolve YES for Netherlands, UK, Israel and Egypt already.

bought แน€105 YES

and United Arab Emirates

bought แน€614 YES

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-14703105/amp/Donald-Trump-make-flying-visit-UK-TONIGHT.html

Trump landed in the UK for refueling. The plane landed, so it should count as physically crossing over the terrestrial territory. Obviously flyovers shouldn't count, but this is no flyover.

@Mana I actually don't consider that this counts, (he didn't leave the aircraft nor the airbase/aeroport it seems) and we are basically lucky that the chances he won't visit the UK across his term are low enough that the option is still well-priced.

@JoshuaWilkes Hmm, okay. The Polymarket market on this resolved to Yes based on this, but your market your call :)

@JoshuaWilkes He visited Italy and Vatican when pope died and now landed in Saudi Arabia.

You can resolve these options to YES now.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/live/cewgn4jnkd2t?post=asset%3A42238f6f-1531-4835-a683-423e54d82bda#post

She says Trump has accepted an official visit to Rome, which she mentioned earlier.

bought แน€50 YES

Next 3 g20 meetings are scheduled and they always come to Canada once. And Trump is for sure coming to see Pierre. And visa versa.

Canada, Italy, South Africa, and Brazil are locks.