Will Trump visit Russia during his term?
14
๐•Š68
2029
61%
chance

resolves yes if trump steps foot in russia by the end of his term

  • Update 2024-09-12 (PST): - Visiting a Russian embassy in a country other than Russia does not count as visiting Russia (AI summary of creator comment)

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do embassies count

@AndrewG not if it's a Russian embassy in a.cointry other than russia

@strutheo what about disputed territories that aren't related to the current war (e.g. the Kuril islands)

bought ๐•Š5.00 YES

At 50:50 odds, yes seems like an easy bet. He's talked about resolving the Russia/Ukraine conflict, he values personal relationships in any sort of negotiation, and four years is a long time.

If nothing else, there will be events that spike this market towards yes even if he doesn't actually go, so unless Trump promptly dies or something, I should have opportunities to unload my YES position at a profit.

reposted

sweepified!

Sweeped! Any thoughts on terrority that could arguably be Russia's but maybe some would say it's Ukraine's? Eg. maybe some treaty is in the works and Trump visits an area of land that was previously Ukraine's but is occupied by Russia and in the treaty going to officially become Russian.

@SirSalty it would be a political decision on manifold's part, which do you recognize lol

id say all the conflicted zones wouldnt resolve imo

@strutheo ๐Ÿ˜† let's hope that doesn't happen then

bought แน€25 YES

We could resolve to Google Maps borders, maybe?

@Quroe hmm doesnt google change their borders depending on the country they serve

Oh! Is that true? If so, today I learned.

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upgraded to PLUS

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