resolves yes if trump steps foot in russia by the end of his term
Update 2024-09-12 (PST): - Visiting a Russian embassy in a country other than Russia does not count as visiting Russia (AI summary of creator comment)
@strutheo what about disputed territories that aren't related to the current war (e.g. the Kuril islands)
At 50:50 odds, yes seems like an easy bet. He's talked about resolving the Russia/Ukraine conflict, he values personal relationships in any sort of negotiation, and four years is a long time.
If nothing else, there will be events that spike this market towards yes even if he doesn't actually go, so unless Trump promptly dies or something, I should have opportunities to unload my YES position at a profit.
@SirSalty it would be a political decision on manifold's part, which do you recognize lol
id say all the conflicted zones wouldnt resolve imo