Background

Donald Trump has been elected for a second term as President of the United States, set to begin on January 20, 2025. During his campaign and previous presidency, Trump has made various statements regarding territorial interests and international relations that have raised questions about potential military actions during his upcoming term.

Trump has expressed interest in acquiring Greenland from Denmark and regaining control of the Panama Canal. He has also mentioned using "economic force" to merge Canada into the United States as the 51st state. However, these statements have not included explicit plans for military invasions.

Trump's foreign policy approach is generally characterized by unpredictability and "America First" principles, which may lead to confrontational policies with certain countries, particularly adversaries like China and Iran.

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve based on whether the United States initiates a full-scale military invasion of the specified countries during Donald Trump's second presidential term (January 20, 2025 - January 20, 2029).

For the purpose of this market:

• An "invasion" is defined as a large-scale deployment of U.S. military forces into the sovereign territory of another country without that country's consent, with the intent to occupy territory or overthrow the existing government.

• Limited military operations, such as targeted strikes, special forces operations, or peacekeeping missions authorized by international bodies, will NOT count as invasions.

• Military assistance requested by a country's recognized government will NOT count as an invasion.

Each country option will resolve independently based on whether the U.S. invades that specific country during Trump's second term.