By 2024, will industry consensus be that the new Huawei Mate 60 Pro's chipset is entirely indigenously produced?
12
280Ṁ256
resolved Jan 18
Resolved
N/A

The new Huawei Mate 60 Pro features a Kirin 9000s chipset that appears to, if not rival its non-Chinese competitors, then at least be more advanced than anyone expected from Huawei in the near future.

This question is trying to measure whether Huawei (and presumably but not certainly HiSilicon and SMIC), have managed to make a technological leap to manufacture this chip, as opposed to having found some method to effectively evade the US-led sanctions on Huawei.

If it is not straightforward to guage industry consensus (ie there is a lack of consensus), this will resolve NA.

If industry consensus is that the Kirin 9000s chip is indigenously produced, and does represent an unprecedented advance, this will resolve YES.

If industry consensus is that the Kirin 9000s chip is not indigenously produced, this will resolve NO.

If industry consensus is that the Kirin 9000s chip is indigenously produced, but it does not represent an unprecedented advance (which would presumably mean that either a lot of early reviews are completely misleading, or that Huawei has found an unprecedented way to juice the performance of a previous generation chip), this will resolve NA.

I have gone a bit outside my comfort zone with this question. Constructive feedback is welcome!

UPDATE: I am selling my small stake in this market and will not bet further, to allow me to make a better judgement at market closure.

https://asiatimes.com/2023/08/huaweis-new-phone-juices-chinese-chip-stocks/

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@JoshuaWilkes Can you resolve this yet? Thank you!

@SirCryptomind still didn't get to this

@JoshuaWilkes Can you resolve yet?

@SirCryptomind I will put an hour to it tomorrow

Apologies to participants: it will take me a little time to get to grips with the resolution criteria for this market and that's time I just don't have right now. I'm afraid you'll have to wai, even for a couple of weeks.

https://www.tomshardware.com/news/huaweis-new-mystery-7nm-chip-from-chinese-fab-defies-us-sanctions

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