Will China's SMIC manage to manufacture semiconductors that will outcompete Taiwan's TSMC by the end of 2033?
11
1kṀ5172032
19%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Same concept of previously created market - but on longer timeframe: 10 years
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
US bans TSMC from selling advanced AI chips to all Chinese companies in 2025?
57% chance
Will China's SMIC manage to manufacture semiconductors that will outcompete Taiwan's TSMC by the end of 2028?
15% chance
Will China's SMIC manage to manufacture semiconductors that will outcompete Taiwan's TSMC by the end of 2024?
5% chance
Will China's Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation (SMIC) achieve the 3nm chip generation before 2026?
11% chance
Will TSMC dominate the semiconductor manufacturing market for the next 10 years?
61% chance
What will be the market cap rank of the top Chinese semiconductor company on May 31, 2025?
8.7
[Metaculus] Will any Chinese semiconductor foundry have 20% or more global semiconductor market share before 2033?
61% chance
Will I think by 2030 that substantial quantities of TSMC chip fabs were destroyed due to China invading Taiwan
33% chance
Will most of TSMC's 2022-existing fabs in Taiwan be destroyed by 2030?
27% chance
China produces 3nm chips before 2027?
42% chance