Will any Chinese semiconductor foundry have 20% or more global semiconductor market share before 2033?

Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.

Resolution criteria

The question will resolve as Yes if any Chinese semiconductor foundry has 20% or more semiconductor foundry revenue market share in any one quarter before January 1st, 2033. The question will resolve as No otherwise.

Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.

Once the original resolves, its resolution will be applied to this market automatically. Trustworthy-ish users are encouraged to resolve this market before then if the outcome is known and unambiguous. Feel free to ping @jskf to request early resolution or to report issues.