Will Dave Wasserman have incorrectly Seen Enough by the end of 2024?
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Plus
10
Ṁ363
Jan 1
7%
chance

Resolves yes if @Redistrict tweets that he has seen enough in a race, and is ultimately wrong.

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Ṁ1,000
and
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Has this ever happened before?

Apparently not, I learned today from @Conflux :

predicts NO

@evergreenemily To clarify, I don’t think anyone has comprehensively searched, so I still think there’s like a 20% chance that Dave was wrong like once

predicts NO

@Conflux With how many times he's said "I've seen enough" (it's gotta be hundreds by now,) the base rate of him being wrong about seeing enough might as well be 0%...

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