Will Dave Wasserman have incorrectly Seen Enough by the end of 2024?
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Resolves yes if @Redistrict tweets that he has seen enough in a race, and is ultimately wrong.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@evergreenemily To clarify, I don’t think anyone has comprehensively searched, so I still think there’s like a 20% chance that Dave was wrong like once
@Conflux With how many times he's said "I've seen enough" (it's gotta be hundreds by now,) the base rate of him being wrong about seeing enough might as well be 0%...
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