Will Dave Wasserman have incorrectly Seen Enough by the end of 2024?
10
74
Ṁ363Ṁ230
2025
7%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves yes if @Redistrict tweets that he has seen enough in a race, and is ultimately wrong.
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@evergreenemily To clarify, I don’t think anyone has comprehensively searched, so I still think there’s like a 20% chance that Dave was wrong like once
@Conflux With how many times he's said "I've seen enough" (it's gotta be hundreds by now,) the base rate of him being wrong about seeing enough might as well be 0%...
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