
Will David Sacks be found to have committed a felony before 2030?
14
1kṀ16422029
19%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Anything highly credible, such as findings of fraud with SBF. Doesn't need to be legally charged, but that's a bonus.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Will Scott Alexander be convicted of a felony in any country before 2030?
2% chance
Before 2026, will any government entity in the US announce they are investigating David Sacks?
26% chance
Will Jeff Bezos be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
4% chance
Will Sam Altman be charged with a felony crime before 2030?
22% chance
Will Elon Musk be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
64% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
6% chance
Will Scott Alexander (Scott Siskind, psychiatrist and writer) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
4% chance
Will Scott Alexander be convicted of a felony in the United States before 2030?
3% chance
Will William MacAskill (philosopher and activist) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
3% chance
Will Joe Biden (U.S. president) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
12% chance
Sort by:
Just to be totally clear, you mean this one? https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/David_O._Sacks
He seems clearly the most famous, but there are others on Wikipedia
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Scott Alexander be convicted of a felony in any country before 2030?
2% chance
Before 2026, will any government entity in the US announce they are investigating David Sacks?
26% chance
Will Jeff Bezos be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
4% chance
Will Sam Altman be charged with a felony crime before 2030?
22% chance
Will Elon Musk be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
64% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
6% chance
Will Scott Alexander (Scott Siskind, psychiatrist and writer) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
4% chance
Will Scott Alexander be convicted of a felony in the United States before 2030?
3% chance
Will William MacAskill (philosopher and activist) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
3% chance
Will Joe Biden (U.S. president) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
12% chance