Which users will attend Manifest 2024?
89
1.7k
Ṁ41kṀ8.7k
Jun 11
1D
1W
1M
ALL
98%
Saul Munn - @saulmunn
91%
Michael Wheatley - @MichaelWheatley
88%
Noa Nabeshima - @NoaNabeshima
95%
Jonathan Ray - @JonathanRay
82%
Shelvacu - @Shelvacu
17%
Beam - @beam
90%
Patrick McKenzie - @patio11
99%
Joshua - @Joshua
17%
Mira - @Mira
96%
Conflux - @Conflux
89%
SneakySly - @SneakySly
94%
Aella - @Aella
89%
Eliezer Yudkowsky - @EliezerYudkowsky
94%
Robin Hanson - @RobinHanson
6%
Lex Fridman - @LexFridman
4%
Tumbles - @Tumbles
96%
Ernie - @Ernie
96%
N.C. Young - @NcyRocks
94%
Nathan Young - @NathanpmYoung
89%
Barak - @barak
Manifest 2 was announced today! It's going to be in Berkely from June 7th to June 9th, with a co-working summer camp in the days before and after.
A name resolves Yes if they attend, No if they don't attend, and N/A if I can't verify whether they attended or not.
Let's try to keep it to people with manifold accounts only for this market, to keep things plausible and to make resolution easier to verify.
If you want some insider info, check the Manifest Payments page to see who bought tickets last year.
For silly prop bets, see:
Get Ṁ600 play money
Related questions
Sort by:
I was (un)decidedly on the fence, but I got my ticket and flight. Need to sort accommo now. If that stays in the strict budget I'll see you all there!
Ernie - @Ernie
boughtṀ10Patrick McKenzie - @... YES
Related questions
Will it rain at Manifest 2024?
17% chance
Will I attend LessOnline/Manifest 2024?
59% chance
Will the Manifest conference reoccur in 2025?
72% chance
Who will be a special guest/speaker at Manifest 2024?
Will I give a talk or speak at Manifest 2024?
65% chance
When will Manifest 2024 tickets sell out?
Will someone from each of the 6 major continents of the world attend Manifest 2024?
30% chance
How many people will attend Manifest 2024?
Will vibecamp (2024) have more attendees than Manifest (2024)?
85% chance