Will any Manifest attendees be elected to public office in 2026 or earlier?
8
100Ṁ5682027
77%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question will resolve yes if at least 1 Manifest 2024 attendee is elected to a government position by the end of 2026. It will resolve no otherwise.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
I'm not sure. Simone Collins is running, but not sure who would actually stand a chance. But the question is so broad, someone could run for some local race and that would resolve this yes.
People are also trading
Related questions
Will there be a manifest in june of 2026?
52% chance
Will there be a manifest in july of 2026?
35% chance
Will there be another Manifest conference held in 2026?
84% chance
Will I go to Manifest next year?
37% chance
Which users will attend a Manifest in 2026? [ADD RESPONSES]
Will gwern attend Manifest 2026?
70% chance