Will Russia invade Finland before the end of 2024?
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390
Dec 31
1.6%
chance

This market will resolve YES if:

Russia takes actions that both the Finnish government and the governments of at least 2 other European countries publicly refer to as an "invasion" before Jan 1 2025.

Note that these references to invasion must also be made before Jan 1 2025, and must be in official government statements, not simply the public statements of individual politicians.

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