MANIFOLD
Russian attacks or invades Finland by mid 2026
27
แน€1kแน€3.4k
Jul 1
4%
chance

Credible sources, battles or clear Russian troops on the other side of the border. Or, bombs them, or does drone strikes. Or other kinetic attacks.

Threats leading to concessions of territory or political union would not count because it's too hard to evaluate. There has to be at least a shot fired.

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What about taking an island unopposed?

@JussiVilleHeiskanen that seems covered by the description

@Ernie There would be troops, so that suggests YES, but no shots fired necessarily, so that would suggest NO

bought แน€500 NO

FINLAND

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