What percentages will "Will Trump win the 2024 Election?" reach?
Basic
4
แน€90
Dec 31
80%
50
59%
70
59%
80
59%
90
52%
100 (resolves YES)
50%
20
50%
10
50%
0 (resolves NO)
50%
30
50%
40
Resolved
YES
60

What percentages will https://manifold.markets/ManifoldPolitics/will-trump-win-the-2024-election?play=true each?

Only $MANA version not the sweepstakes.

Post question creation obviously.

#๏ธ Politics
#๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ US Politics
#๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ 2024 US Presidential Election
#Trump
#Republican Party
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it seems like this is backwards? it says resolves no on 0%, but its currently higher than 0%, and says resolves yes on 100%, even though it would never reach 100%?

@jetison333 If https://manifold.markets/ManifoldPolitics/will-trump-win-the-2024-election?play=true

resolves to no. Then it has reached 0. Then 0 will resolve to yes.

Will Trump win the 2024 Election?
55% chance.

@JohanNorberg ah, its not that option that resolves that way, its if the other question resolves that way. I understand now

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