Conditional on being convicted before Election Day 2024, will Trump win the 2024 election?
34
237
Ṁ3.7KṀ590
Nov 6
47%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
If Donald Trump is convicted of any crime before the day that the 2024 general election takes place, this resolves based on whether he wins the election. Otherwise, it resolves N/A.
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This market doesn't specify that it needs to be felony charges nor federal charges, so this should be identical to his odds here: https://manifold.markets/jack/who-will-win-the-2024-us-presidenti-8c1c8b2f8964
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