22 second clip:

https://youtube.com/clip/UgkxTuFL5iSi3VW1f3zSCBr46JwpUgLrtSEK

On the Future of Life Institute Podcast with Gus Docker, guest Nathan Labenz predicted that personal risk of LLMs capability of efficiently facilitating scams would be in the public consciousness within 90 days.

https://futureoflife.org/podcast/nathan-labenz-on-the-cognitive-revolution-red-teaming-gpt-4-and-potential-dangers-of-ai/

This market resolves to YES if concern about LLM-facilitated scams becomes a mainstream concern in the United States by Aug 2 2023 (90 days from the Podcast release date May 4 2023).

Evidence for resolving to YES would include 1) widespread anxiety of the general public over personal risk of LLM-facilitated scams, or 2) advocacy by mainstream news media that the public take meaningfully-costly steps of software use of behavior modification in interactions with technology, communications, or other forms of data exchange in response to the percieved threat.

Threshold for resolving this market will likely involve some subjectivity in my judgement. I'll treat the evidence of 'widespread anxiety' at the level of occurring about 25% of the US population and evidence of 'meaningfully-costly' steps as anything requiring additional software use or behavior modifications that add noticeable friction to daily interactions with internet or other telecommunications.