Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize? | Manifold

Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize?

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2029

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Elon Musk has been nominated for the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize for his efforts in promoting free speech. The nomination was proposed by Branko Grims, a Slovenian Member of the European Parliament, highlighting Musk's global advocacy.

Update 2025-01-29 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution Criteria:
- The market will resolve no later than the end of Trump’s 2nd term.

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sold Ṁ4,801 NO

add "by 2028 to the title"

bought Ṁ4,800 NO

< 0.1% But the resolution date... oops.

Sorry, I misread the market as being this year when I sweepified it. Will just N/A the sweepstakes version (timeline kinda long for sweepstakes).

opened a Ṁ2,000 NO at 5% order

Is this seriously open until he dies or wins a nobel prize?

@HillaryClinton This market is set to resolve no later than the end of Trump’s 2nd term.

People are also trading

🕊️Which person or organization will win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? [ADD RESPONSES]

Will Elon Musk ever be elected President?

If Eliezer Yudkowsky wins the Nobel Peace Prize, what will it be for?

Will Elon Musk run for US presidency?

Will Trump pardon Elon Musk ?

Will Trump award Elon Musk the presidential medal of freedom before the end of his 2nd term?

Will Elon Musk die a billionaire?

If Elon Musk runs for US president before 2033, will they win?

Will a nonhuman win a Nobel Prize by 2100?

Will Michael Levin win a Nobel Prize any time in the future?

Related questions

🕊️Which person or organization will win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? [ADD RESPONSES]

Will Elon Musk ever be elected President?

If Eliezer Yudkowsky wins the Nobel Peace Prize, what will it be for?

Will Elon Musk run for US presidency?

Will Trump pardon Elon Musk ?

Will Trump award Elon Musk the presidential medal of freedom before the end of his 2nd term?

Will Elon Musk die a billionaire?

If Elon Musk runs for US president before 2033, will they win?

Will a nonhuman win a Nobel Prize by 2100?

Will Michael Levin win a Nobel Prize any time in the future?

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