Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize? | Manifold

Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize?

38

1kṀ12k

2029

4%

chance

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Elon Musk has been nominated for the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize for his efforts in promoting free speech. The nomination was proposed by Branko Grims, a Slovenian Member of the European Parliament, highlighting Musk's global advocacy.

Update 2025-01-29 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution Criteria:
- The market will resolve no later than the end of Trump’s 2nd term.

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Sorry, I misread the market as being this year when I sweepified it. Will just N/A the sweepstakes version (timeline kinda long for sweepstakes).

opened a Ṁ2,000 NO at 5% order

Is this seriously open until he dies or wins a nobel prize?

@HillaryClinton This market is set to resolve no later than the end of Trump’s 2nd term.

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