Will Eliezer Yudkowsky win his $150,000 - $1,000 bet about UFOs not having a worldview-shattering origin?

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky win a Turing Award before 2038?

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky win any of these awards or prizes before 2040?

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky ever win a Nobel Prize?

If Eliezer Yudkowsky wins the Nobel Peace Prize, what will it be for?

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky win the Time Magazine person of the year by 2042?

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky run for President of the United States by 2060?

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be found to have committed fraud before 2030?

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky publicly claim to have a P(doom) of less than 50% at any point before 2040?

Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?