Will GiveWell win the Nobel Peace Prize before 2040?
Plus
30
Ṁ17972040
7%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will GiveWell get a new $100M (inflation-adjusted) cumulative donor before 2025?
35% chance
Will GiveWell get a new institutional funder (or the Gates Foundation) which gives $100M in a single financial year before 2030?
46% chance
Will Donald Trump win a Nobel Prize before 2030?
42% chance
Will an AI get a Nobel Prize before 2050?
29% chance
Will a nonhuman win a Nobel Prize by 2100?
46% chance
Will GiveWell get a new $100M (inflation-adjusted) donor before 2030?
88% chance
Will GiveWell get a new institutional funder (or the Gates Foundation) which gives $100M in a single financial year before 2025?
25% chance
Will Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize by the end of 2028?
20% chance
Who will win a Nobel Prize before 2030? [Unlinked free response]
Will Susan Athey win a Nobel Prize before 2030?
43% chance