Will an LLM get at least 80% on the 2026 USAMO for less than $2? | Manifold

Will an LLM get at least 80% on the 2026 USAMO for less than $2?

4

Ṁ1kṀ88

Dec 31

52%

chance

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolves according to the score and total cost given by matharena.ai. Only uncontaminated models released before the competition will be eligible.

Market context

Colleges & Universities

Higher Education

Get

1,000

to start trading!

People are also trading

What will the highest 2026 USAMO cutoff be?

Will an LLM get at least 70% on the 2026 USAMO for less than $2?

Will my score on USAMO 2026 make MOP?

Will the highest-scoring LLM on Dec 31, 2026 show <10% improvement over 2025's best average benchmark performance?

Will an LLM improve its own ability along some important metric well beyond the best trained LLMs before 2026?

Will LLM training costs fall 100x by 2028?

Will LLM training costs fall 100x by 2028?

Will LLM training costs fall 1,000x by 2028?

Will LLM training costs fall 300x by 2028?

When will a freely available LLM achieve IMO gold?

Related questions

What will the highest 2026 USAMO cutoff be?

Will an LLM get at least 70% on the 2026 USAMO for less than $2?

Will my score on USAMO 2026 make MOP?

Will the highest-scoring LLM on Dec 31, 2026 show <10% improvement over 2025's best average benchmark performance?

Will an LLM improve its own ability along some important metric well beyond the best trained LLMs before 2026?

Will LLM training costs fall 100x by 2028?

Will LLM training costs fall 100x by 2028?

Will LLM training costs fall 1,000x by 2028?

Will LLM training costs fall 300x by 2028?

When will a freely available LLM achieve IMO gold?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy