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MANIFOLD
Will an LLM score >=95% on SimpleBench before 2028?
12
Ṁ100Ṁ315
2027
72%
chance

SimpleBench

This market will be resolved as YES if the AVG@5 score of any LLM on this leaderboard will be 95.0% or higher before Jan 1, 2028.

Market context
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