Will an LLM score >=95% on SimpleBench before 2028? | Manifold

Will an LLM score >=95% on SimpleBench before 2028?

7

Ṁ100Ṁ127

2027

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This market will be resolved as YES if the AVG@5 score of any LLM on this leaderboard will be 95.0% or higher before Jan 1, 2028.

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Will the highest-scoring LLM on Dec 31, 2026 show <10% improvement over 2025's best average benchmark performance?

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