Will LLM training costs fall 1,000x by 2028? | Manifold

Will LLM training costs fall 1,000x by 2028?

40

110Ṁ2057

2028

74%

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Will LLM training costs fall 100x by 2028?

Will LLM training costs fall 100x by 2028?

Will LLM training costs fall 300x by 2028?

Will LLMs become a ubiquitous part of everyday life by June 2026?

Will an LLM improve its own ability along some important metric well beyond the best trained LLMs before 2026?

Will there by a major breakthrough in LLM continual learning before 2027?

Will there be any major breakthrough in LLM continual learning before 2028?

Will the highest-scoring LLM on Dec 31, 2026 show <10% improvement over 2025's best average benchmark performance?

Will total LLM or Agent provider revenue be more than 1T worldwide by best estimates, as of mid 2027?

How soon will Private investment in LLMs be lower than it was in 2024Q1? (from 01.01 to 31.3 of 2024)

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Training what exaxtly?

Training cost for a model with with Performance equal to todays Models.

-Training cost for whatever Models are SOTA in 2028.

bought Ṁ30 YES

Compared to mid 2023? Yeah think so

Train from scratch or finetune?

Roughly $80-$1,000 to raise llamas

People are also trading

Will LLM training costs fall 100x by 2028?

Will LLM training costs fall 100x by 2028?

Will LLM training costs fall 300x by 2028?

Will LLMs become a ubiquitous part of everyday life by June 2026?

Will an LLM improve its own ability along some important metric well beyond the best trained LLMs before 2026?

Will there by a major breakthrough in LLM continual learning before 2027?

Will there be any major breakthrough in LLM continual learning before 2028?

Will the highest-scoring LLM on Dec 31, 2026 show <10% improvement over 2025's best average benchmark performance?

Will total LLM or Agent provider revenue be more than 1T worldwide by best estimates, as of mid 2027?

How soon will Private investment in LLMs be lower than it was in 2024Q1? (from 01.01 to 31.3 of 2024)

Related questions

Will LLM training costs fall 100x by 2028?

Will LLM training costs fall 100x by 2028?

Will LLM training costs fall 300x by 2028?

Will LLMs become a ubiquitous part of everyday life by June 2026?

Will an LLM improve its own ability along some important metric well beyond the best trained LLMs before 2026?

Will there by a major breakthrough in LLM continual learning before 2027?

Will there be any major breakthrough in LLM continual learning before 2028?

Will the highest-scoring LLM on Dec 31, 2026 show <10% improvement over 2025's best average benchmark performance?

Will total LLM or Agent provider revenue be more than 1T worldwide by best estimates, as of mid 2027?

How soon will Private investment in LLMs be lower than it was in 2024Q1? (from 01.01 to 31.3 of 2024)

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