MOP 2025 (as soph; qualed through jmo)
ELMO 2025 3rd place+ gold 26/42
USEMO top5 + top day2

If I do not qualify for USAMO 2026 this resolves to N/A. "Making MOP" means scoring at least the juniors cutoff as I will be a junior by 2026.

Whether I actually make MOP depends on citizenship issues which I have no say over, hence the phrasing of the question.

I reserve the right to bet on this market before Day 1 of USAMO 2026.

Update: my progress for P1 is somewhat similar to Evan's solution on AoPS. Wrong as written but only missing the initial rewrite; the rest of the computation proceeds exactly the same way.

Currently predicting eps/eps/0/7/7/7, where eps for P1 and P2 may be generous.