Will my score on USAMO 2026 make MOP?
8
100Ṁ1109
2026
13%
chance

MOP 2025 (as soph; qualed through jmo)
ELMO 2025 3rd place+ gold 26/42
USEMO top5 + top day2 (predicted)


If I do not qualify for USAMO 2026 this resolves to N/A. "Making MOP" means scoring at least the juniors cutoff as I will be a junior by 2026.

Whether I actually make MOP depends on citizenship issues which I have no say over, hence the phrasing of the question.

I reserve the right to bet on this market before Day 1 of USAMO 2026.

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