Will more than 100 million people self-describe as believing in some "AI Religion" by 2035?
6
40
Ṁ171Ṁ130
2035
20%
chance
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1M
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All of the terms should be interpreted lightly (rather than literal) as I have no idea what an "AI Religion" would even mean. I will resolve this market based on common sense.
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The core positions of this "church of AI" are equivalent to singularitarianism. There are lots of singularitarians, arguably more than half of the population are non-practicing singularitarian believers. it is not much of a religion, as it does not really provide shared moral clarity about how to live.
Calling it a church doesn't make it a religion, nor does it get you a church.
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