By 2032, will >=10% of adults report AI helped achieve deep personal fulfillment they couldn't find using trad. therapy?
15
100Ṁ2342032
62%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
With advancements in emotional intelligence and subjective experience modeling, could AI systems surpass conventional methods (therapy, self-help, meditation) in authentically resolving complex personal struggles—offering genuine reconciliation and fulfillment?
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
People are also trading
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
Related questions
In 2028, will at least 35m Americans be talking at least weekly to an AI they consider a romantic companion?
8% chance
Will >50% of Fortune 500 global managers report regularly using generative AI for work by June 30, 2025?
37% chance
Will AI surpass human intellect by 2030?
91% chance
Will AI take over most mental health therapy jobs by end of 2030?
37% chance
Will AI Therapist be a mainstream job title by December 31, 2025?
5% chance
In 2028, will at least 35m (1/10) Americans be talking at least monthly to an AI therapist or coach?
22% chance
In 2028, will at least 3.5m (1/100) Americans be talking at least monthly to an AI therapist or coach?
68% chance
In 2028, will at least 100m Americans be talking at least monthly to an AI therapist or coach?
16% chance
In 2028, will at least 350,000 (1/1000) Americans be talking at least monthly to an AI therapist or coach?
92% chance
Will majority consensus in AI ethics shift toward explicitly prioritizing authentic subjective fulfillment by 2030s end?
38% chance